Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-22 0.224809 0.262862 0.307775 0.365347 0.438143 0.528456 0.651124
2024-12-29 0.169891 0.217020 0.279937 0.372814 0.511494 0.720078 1.077808
2025-01-05 0.133764 0.181184 0.250037 0.362592 0.553701 0.891476 1.611341
2025-01-12 0.113894 0.161565 0.235632 0.367574 0.618736 1.136626 2.525777
2025-01-19 0.098236 0.144273 0.219597 0.363228 0.663860 1.374425 3.763779
2025-01-26 0.088468 0.134092 0.212390 0.371688 0.738058 1.738383 6.131733
2025-02-02 0.081485 0.127097 0.208894 0.385856 0.832582 2.252926 10.858366
2025-02-09 0.075230 0.120230 0.204034 0.395446 0.921802 2.865142 19.882868
2025-02-16 0.070250 0.114818 0.200801 0.407645 1.026888 3.707042 41.296399
2025-02-23 0.065544 0.109202 0.196038 0.414738 1.122500 4.703414 94.409354
2025-03-02 0.061183 0.103644 0.190381 0.417945 1.209168 5.878842 254.864028
2025-03-09 0.056984 0.097878 0.183307 0.415413 1.275100 7.140066 865.438513
2025-03-16 0.052712 0.091587 0.174332 0.405905 1.312107 8.380917 4602.185525
2025-03-23 0.050297 0.088814 0.172993 0.418831 1.462507 11.547733 NaN
2025-03-30 0.046800 0.083420 0.164708 0.408215 1.495063 13.602288 NaN
2025-04-06 0.044572 0.080472 0.161873 0.414463 1.625102 18.408734 NaN
2025-04-13 0.042015 0.076562 0.156118 0.409494 1.691456 22.992151 NaN
2025-04-20 0.040387 0.074511 0.154738 0.419461 1.864189 33.600763 NaN
2025-04-27 0.039161 0.073217 0.155115 0.436126 2.108702 55.083028 NaN
2025-05-04 0.037801 0.071487 0.154089 0.447421 2.336859 90.656153 NaN
2025-05-11 0.036642 0.070103 0.153801 0.461808 2.621657 169.103806 NaN
2025-05-18 0.035357 0.068308 0.152129 0.470183 2.875672 323.159642 NaN
2025-05-25 0.034023 0.066280 0.149534 0.473973 3.100264 648.328670 NaN